Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.004676 0.005287 0.005983 0.006840 0.007878 0.009110 0.010702
2025-12-14 0.003788 0.004544 0.005479 0.006750 0.008472 0.010793 0.014280
2025-12-21 0.003386 0.004231 0.005344 0.006967 0.009371 0.012973 0.019179
2025-12-28 0.003142 0.004058 0.005326 0.007294 0.010444 0.015661 0.025972
2026-01-04 0.002893 0.003832 0.005183 0.007385 0.011147 0.017942 0.033206
2026-01-11 0.002656 0.003589 0.004973 0.007319 0.011552 0.019799 0.040668
2026-01-18 0.002480 0.003411 0.004833 0.007336 0.012093 0.022093 0.050833
2026-01-25 0.002293 0.003197 0.004608 0.007165 0.012230 0.023569 0.060005
2026-02-01 0.002103 0.002962 0.004323 0.006844 0.011998 0.024112 0.066770
2026-02-08 0.001936 0.002750 0.004056 0.006520 0.011695 0.024391 0.073011
2026-02-15 0.001858 0.002672 0.004007 0.006597 0.012276 0.027221 0.093443
2026-02-22 0.001756 0.002548 0.003866 0.006475 0.012381 0.028768 0.110478
2026-03-01 0.001639 0.002400 0.003682 0.006272 0.012322 0.030031 0.130346
2026-03-08 0.001551 0.002293 0.003565 0.006194 0.012567 0.032491 0.166033
2026-03-15 0.001509 0.002261 0.003577 0.006387 0.013561 0.038258 0.256217
2026-03-22 0.001482 0.002251 0.003630 0.006676 0.014916 0.046666 0.456150
2026-03-29 0.001431 0.002197 0.003593 0.006757 0.015703 0.053459 0.757706
2026-04-05 0.001370 0.002119 0.003502 0.006699 0.016052 0.058524 1.187807
2026-04-12 0.001322 0.002061 0.003445 0.006714 0.016650 0.065772 2.230433
2026-04-19 0.001260 0.001976 0.003327 0.006562 0.016646 0.069469 3.641562
2026-04-26 0.001191 0.001871 0.003163 0.006278 0.016113 0.069231 4.753662
2026-05-03 0.001125 0.001772 0.003004 0.005990 0.015513 0.068179 5.917344
2026-05-10 0.001098 0.001742 0.002984 0.006059 0.016247 0.078163 24.326850